Round RockSingle-Family HomesMarket Snapshot
By Lauren A. Petty, REALTOR® · Brokered by eXp Realty
Source: Unlock MLS, Austin Board of REALTORS®
Executive Summary
Round Rock remained a balanced market in September. Closings increased 9.9%, and the closed median price rose 5.9% to $433,995.
Other measures point to continued negotiating room for buyers. Closed homes took longer to sell, average seller-paid buyer closing costs increased 27.4%, and the average closed price per square foot declined 3.0%. Pending and under-contract counts also fell, suggesting September's stronger closing volume may not carry into October.
September 2026 Market Snapshot
The numbers at a glance
Closed Prices
Active & Pending
Inventory & Velocity Trend
August → September shift
Round Rock remained a Balanced Market in September. Closings rose faster than active inventory, so months of inventory eased from 4.94 to 4.74 and absorption improved from 20.26% to 21.11%. Both months meet the balanced criteria of 20%–32% absorption and 3.1–5 months of inventory, and buyers still had substantial choice.
Months of Inventory = Active ÷ monthly Closed. Absorption Rate = monthly Closed ÷ Active × 100.
The 3 Fastest Moving Subdivisions
September closed listings by average DOM
Kensington Place Sec 04 also recorded 3 days, tying for third. Each result represents one closing, so these are individual transaction observations rather than reliable estimates of typical subdivision selling speed. A reported zero DOM does not establish that the home had no prior marketing.
September vs. August Comparison
Activity volume
Pricing
Full month-over-month deltas
| Metric | August | September | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closed sales | 111 | 122 | +9.9% |
| Expired | 26 | 29 | +11.5% |
| Withdrawn | 62 | 53 | −14.5% |
| Active | 548 | 578 | +5.5% |
| Pending | 65 | 58 | −10.8% |
| Under contract | 78 | 67 | −14.1% |
| Homes without HOA* | 120 | 135 | +12.5% |
| Homes < $300k** | 53 | 59 | +11.3% |
| Closed median price | $410,000 | $433,995 | +5.9% |
| Closed average price | $448,649 | $463,242 | +3.3% |
| Avg $/sq ft (closed) | $199.37 | $193.33 | −3.0% |
| Avg seller-paid CC | $3,868 | $4,929 | +27.4% |
| Close-to-list % | 97.70% | 97.92% | +0.22 pts |
| Active median price | $449,995 | $427,500 | −5.0% |
| Active average price | $508,036 | $486,080 | −4.3% |
| Pending median price | $447,781 | $439,495 | −1.9% |
| Pending average price | $475,487 | $471,657 | −0.8% |
| Closed avg DOM | 48.8 | 56.6 | +7.8 days |
| Active avg DOM | 84.2 | 78.7 | −5.5 days |
| Months of inventory | 4.94 | 4.74 | Modestly lower |
| Absorption rate | 20.26% | 21.11% | Modestly higher |
Combined Pending and Under Contract inventory declined from 143 to 125 homes, a 12.6% decrease.
* Active listings with HOA Requirement other than "Mandatory." September includes 131 blank HOA entries and 4 Voluntary entries; blank entries do not confirm that a home has no HOA.
** List price below $301,000. Strictly below $300,000, the counts are 48 in August and 55 in September.
Concession averages include reported zeros and exclude blanks (109 August and 121 September records). Close-to-list % is the average of the exported CP$/LP$ % field and does not deduct concessions. Active and pending price changes reflect inventory composition, not price reductions on the same homes.
Noteworthy Market Trends
Pipeline is shrinking
Combined Pending and Under Contract inventory declined from 143 to 125 homes (−12.6%), suggesting September's stronger closing volume may not carry into October.
Higher prices, larger homes
The closed median rose 5.9% to $433,995, but average size grew from ~2,269 to 2,407 sq ft while price per sq ft fell 3.0% to $193.33. A shift toward larger homes — not broad appreciation — explains the higher prices.
Concessions increased
Average seller-paid buyer closing costs rose 27.4% to $4,929 and were positive on 62 closings (vs. 48 in August), reducing seller proceeds beyond the 97.92% close-to-list ratio.
Market times lengthened
Closed homes averaged 56.6 days on market, 16.1% longer than August. Active DOM fell to 78.7 days, but new listings and removals change that average — it doesn't establish faster sales.
Asking prices softened
The active median fell 5.0% to $427,500 and the pending median slipped 1.9% to $439,495, while active homes under $300k rose 11.3% to 59 — more entry-point choices for buyers.
Forecasting Prediction
What next month likely looks like
The most defensible prediction for October 2026 is continued Balanced Market conditions, with a possibility of softer closing activity.
- Closing volume: The 12.6% reduction in combined Pending and Under Contract inventory suggests a smaller transaction pipeline.
- Pricing: Lower active and pending prices suggest continued pressure for competitive asking prices. September's higher closed median alone does not support a prediction of rising values.
- Concessions: Increased seller-paid buyer closing costs suggest concessions may remain an important negotiating tool.
- Selling time: September's longer closed DOM supports allowing more time to secure a buyer.
- Market classification likely remains Balanced.
- Closed volume may soften given the smaller pending pipeline.
- Days on market and seller-paid concessions may remain elevated.
- Competitively priced, well-prepared homes should still sell; buyers retain negotiating room.
Interested in Your Neighborhood?
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Lauren A. Petty, REALTOR®
Brokered by eXp Realty
I'm a professional analyst and project manager now a REALTOR®, serving the information without sales-talk. That's exactly how I support buyers and sellers: strategy and calm so you can make clear decisions.
How I Work
- Deep knowledge of Austin-area neighborhoods, schools, and market trends grounded in data-driven analysis
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